CORDIS Project
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LONGFOR aims to enhance mortality forecasting by developing innovative models that incorporate theoretical frameworks and population-specific traits. The project focuses on analyzing mortality trends across European populations, aiming to improve prediction accuracy for age-specific and cause-specific mortality rates.
Current mortality forecasting methods have been shown to systematically underpredict future longevity, and their methodological frameworks are based on time series extrapolation rather than theory or structural models.
Given our extensive knowledge of the factors that have shaped mortality trends, a crucial question is whether considering additional traits of the populations analysed can improve prediction accuracy compared to the state of the art.The goal of LONGFOR is to develop innovative mod…
MAX-PLANCK-GESELLSCHAFT ZUR FORDERUNG DER WISSENSCHAFTEN EV
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