CORDIS Project
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This project aims to develop methods for predicting critical transitions in complex environmental systems, such as lakes and coral reefs, by identifying early warning signals. The goal is to create a cohesive theory that can be applied to various systems, enhancing our ability to foresee significant ecological changes.
Abrupt shifts occasionally reshape complex systems in nature ranging in scale from lakes and reefs to regional climate systems.
Such shifts sometimes represent critical transitions in the sense that they happen at tipping points where runaway change propels the system towards an alterative contrasting state.
Although the mechanism of critical transitions can often be reconstructed in the hindsight, we are virtually unable to predict when they will happen in advance.
Simulation models for complex…
WAGENINGEN UNIVERSITY
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